Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000098 0.000108 0.000118 0.000130 0.000143 0.000158 0.000174
2025-12-28 0.000079 0.000094 0.000110 0.000130 0.000155 0.000183 0.000220
2026-01-04 0.000068 0.000085 0.000105 0.000131 0.000165 0.000207 0.000265
2026-01-11 0.000059 0.000077 0.000099 0.000129 0.000171 0.000225 0.000302
2026-01-18 0.000053 0.000072 0.000096 0.000130 0.000178 0.000245 0.000345
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000066 0.000091 0.000128 0.000182 0.000260 0.000381
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000062 0.000088 0.000128 0.000188 0.000277 0.000423
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000058 0.000084 0.000126 0.000190 0.000289 0.000458
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000054 0.000080 0.000123 0.000191 0.000300 0.000490
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000052 0.000079 0.000124 0.000198 0.000320 0.000540
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000051 0.000079 0.000126 0.000207 0.000343 0.000600
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000048 0.000075 0.000123 0.000207 0.000352 0.000632
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000044 0.000071 0.000118 0.000203 0.000355 0.000657
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000042 0.000069 0.000119 0.000210 0.000376 0.000720
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000041 0.000068 0.000120 0.000217 0.000399 0.000790
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000066 0.000118 0.000219 0.000413 0.000843
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000038 0.000065 0.000119 0.000225 0.000436 0.000917
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000063 0.000117 0.000226 0.000449 0.000972
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000034 0.000062 0.000117 0.000231 0.000470 0.001045
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000115 0.000231 0.000481 0.001100
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000031 0.000057 0.000112 0.000231 0.000490 0.001150
2026-05-17 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000113 0.000237 0.000516 0.001247
2026-05-24 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000115 0.000246 0.000549 0.001364